Pattern of Politics
Before everyone writes the ticket for Obama to be the next president. Consider the history of the Democratic primary campaign. The early voting showing is based on emotional idealism and then the business of politics take hold…
History is full of idealists doing well early in the campaign and then eventually losing as the “establishment” candidate starts to call in all chips from the special interests groups that will benefit from his/her winning. Mayors start bussing in voters, teacher unions rally, etc. Recall that the Democratic party wanted John Kerry to be the 2004 candidate-and he just fired his campaign manger in Dec 2003 and his campaign was considered “all but dead”… then Howard Dean yelled and his campaign was run over….
Eugene McCarthy, Paul Tsongas, Howard Dean, etc. all had early wins and strong support only to lose eventually to the Democratic Party establishment candidate.
----------------This is evidenced by the single big fact that elections are won 99% of the time by the current office holder